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DTN Midday Livestock Comments 01/30 11:53
Southern Live Cattle Trade $3 to $5 Higher, Dressed Cattle Jump $6 to $9
Higher
Some light cash cattle trade has been noted in the South at $238 to $240,
and in the North at $375 to $378.
ShayLe Stewart
DTN Livestock Analyst
GENERAL COMMENTS:
The livestock complex is trading mixed into Friday's noon hour as the cattle
sector is anxious ahead of seeing the Cattle Inventory report. Some light cash
cattle trade has developed, and thankfully prices are fully higher in both
regions. March corn is down 5 cents per bushel and March soybean meal is down
$3.10. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 461.89 points and NASDAQ is
down 186.94 points.
LIVE CATTLE:
The live cattle complex is truly a mixed bag heading into Friday's noon
hour. Only the February live cattle contract is trading higher, while the
deferred contracts are trading moderately lower as the market sits on pins and
needles waiting for the industry's Cattle Inventory report to be released later
this afternoon. It has been exciting to see some stronger trade develop in the
fed cash cattle market, but unfortunately with traders knowing the big report
is set to be released this afternoon, the strong developments in the cash
market seem to be overlooked. February live cattle is up $0.25 at $235.75,
April live cattle is down $0.52 at $236.75 and June live cattle is down $1.47
at $231.80. Some light cash cattle trade has developed in the South at $238 to
$240, which is $3.00 to $5.00 higher than last week's weighted average. Some
Northern dressed cattle trade has developed at $375 to $378, which is $6.00 to
$9.00 higher than last week's weighted average.
Boxed beef prices are mixed: choice down $1.22 ($366.55) and select up $2.28
($363.00) with a movement of 57 loads (38.15 loads of choice, 3.95 loads of
select, 4.97 loads of trim and 9.61 loads of ground beef).
FEEDER CATTLE:
Between seeing the equity markets and live cattle contracts all fall lower,
the feeder cattle contracts are following suit as most of the contracts are
trading $5.00 to $6.00 lower into Friday's noon hour. There's a cloud of
uncertainty that's seemed to overcome the entire marketplace, and currently
seems to be ensuing the most havoc on the feeder cattle contracts. March
feeders are down $6.52 at $358.77, April feeders are down $6.30 at $356.92 and
May feeders are down $6.12 at $353.85.
LEAN HOGS:
While the cattle contracts sink back in anxiousness, the lean hog contracts
are at least trading higher in the market's deferred contracts, but the nearby
contracts are following suit in a minor regression. February lean hogs are down
$0.35 at $87.35, April lean hogs are down $0.32 at $95.12 and June lean hogs
are down $0.10 at $108.32. It is helpful that midday pork cutout values are up
over $2.00 higher -- showing strong continued consumer support.
The projected lean hog index for 1/29/2026 is up $0.06 at $85.78, and the
actual index for 1/28/2026 is up $0.50 at $85.72. Hog prices are lower on the
Daily Direct Morning Hog report, down $0.49 with a weighted average price of
$83.39, ranging from $79.00 to $87.00 on 1,508 head and a five-day rolling
average of $84.12. Pork cutouts total 168.84 loads with 141.20 loads of pork
cuts and 27.64 loads of trim. Pork cutout values: up $2.67, $96.10.
ShayLe Stewart can be reached at shayle.stewart@dtn.com
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